Iron/Capital
STATUSAll systems nominal / Active
NYC
MARKET OPERATIONS / PREDICTION MARKETSHUMAN-DIRECTED SYSTEM

Cerberus

One system for capturing, testing, and executing prediction-market strategy with visible controls and traceable decisions.

Read the system
IRON CAPITAL EQUITIES / APPLIED SYSTEMSNEW YORK
THE OPERATING PROBLEM

Live data disappears. Decisions still have to be accountable.

Prediction-market work fragments across incompatible surfaces. Live markets sit in one view, execution in another, and risk controls often live in the operator's head. Historical context is coarse or gone by the time a market rolls over.

The result is time-pressured decision making without one durable record or an honest way to know whether an idea could have survived the market as it actually existed.

One lifecycle.
Three operating views.

Cerberus keeps research and execution connected without pretending they are the same activity.

OBSERVE

Keep the market as it happened

Fast-moving market activity becomes durable evidence instead of disappearing when a contract closes.

VALIDATE

Test ideas without live risk

Strategy ideas can be evaluated against recorded market behavior before they become operating intent.

ACT

Execute inside clear limits

Validated intent enters a control surface where mode, confirmation, position, and exit remain visible.

CONNECTIVE TISSUE
Data moves forward. Accountability runs backward.

Every live action can be understood in context: the operating play, the decision behind it, and the market evidence that informed it. Traceability is part of the product, not a report produced after the fact.

A human directs it.

Cerberus supports operator judgment. Automation carries out intent within explicit rules. It does not form intent, promise returns, or hide uncertainty.

SAFETY BY DESIGN

Paper and live modes remain explicit and difficult to confuse.

Coverage gaps are exposed rather than silently treated as complete history.

Confirmation gates keep consequential actions deliberate.

Assistance can analyze and propose. It cannot place orders or change operating mode.

Controls reduce and bound risk. They do not claim to eliminate it.

CURRENT STATE

A serious operator system, described without performance theater.

The market recorder operates continuously. The research environment runs locally against recorded history. The execution surface is a live production prototype behind authenticated infrastructure. Cerberus makes no claims about returns, edge, or autonomous trading.

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